“Climate Change Turns Los Angeles into a Tinder-Box: Scientists Warn of Increasing Fire Danger”
Unusually dry winter weather in Los Angeles and its surroundings has created a perfect storm for devastating wildfires, according to a group of scientists from the World Weather Attribution (WWA) group. The scientists found that climate change, resulting in a world 1.3C hotter than pre-industrial times, made the dry conditions that fuelled the fires 35% more likely. They also warned that a further rise in global warming to 2.6C, expected by 2100, will make these conditions another 35% more likely.
The dry winter conditions, combined with strong Santa Ana winds, have led to over 10,000 homes being destroyed and at least 28 people losing their lives in fires around Los Angeles. The scientists noted that while fires in the summer are common in southern California, the winter is usually too wet for fires to spread. However, this winter was the driest in over 30 years, leading to dried-out plants that fuelled rapidly spreading fires.
The scientists also highlighted the role of water infrastructure in exacerbating the fires, noting that the current infrastructure was not designed to fight rapidly expanding wildfires. California Governor Gavin Newsom has acknowledged that some fire fighters’ hydrants failed due to a lack of water pressure, emphasizing the need for investments in improved pressure management.
In addition to climate change, the scientists emphasized the importance of early warning and evacuation systems, as 17 of the 28 deaths occurred in a neighborhood where residents were only advised to leave after the fire had reached the area. The family of a 73-year-old woman who died after a rushed evacuation stated that timely warnings could have saved her life.
Despite the warnings from scientists and the challenges posed by climate change, many residents have expressed their intention to rebuild their homes. Governor Newsom has promised to put public money towards reconstruction efforts, but experts caution against rebuilding in high-risk areas.
President Donald Trump, a climate change sceptic, has vowed action on disasters in the wake of the devastating fires. He has announced plans to overhaul or get rid of the main federal agency that responds to emergencies, preferring to give federal money to states to handle catastrophes themselves.
Overall, the combination of unusually dry winter weather, strong winds, and inadequate water infrastructure has created a dangerous situation in Los Angeles and its surroundings. Scientists warn that without significant action to address climate change and improve disaster response systems, the region will continue to face escalating risks from wildfires.